Logo
Background
Litepaper

Predictr.Market Litepaper

Version 1.1 • July 2025

Table of Contents

  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Problem Statement & Solution
  4. Core Features
  5. Technology: Built on Core
  6. Market Opportunity
  7. Roadmap
  8. Tokenomics & Governance
  9. Community Benefits
  10. Conclusion

1. Executive Summary

Predictr.Market is a trustless, decentralized prediction market platform that empowers users to create, trade, and resolve markets on real-world events, leveraging Core, an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM)-based chain on Bitcoin. Markets are settled by an AI-powered oracle, ensuring fair and transparent outcomes without reliance on centralized intermediaries. Token holders play a pivotal role, with voting rights to shape the platform’s roadmap and a higher percentage of winnings to incentivize participation. By combining Bitcoin’s liquidity and security with EVM-compatible smart contracts, Predictr.Market delivers a scalable, accessible, and community-driven prediction market ecosystem.

2. Introduction

Prediction markets allow users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events, with market prices reflecting collective sentiment and probability estimates. Predictr.Market redefines this paradigm by offering a trustless, decentralized platform built on Core, an EVM-based chain on Bitcoin. An AI-powered oracle autonomously settles markets, ensuring tamper-proof resolutions. Token holders influence the platform’s roadmap through decentralized governance and receive enhanced winnings, fostering an inclusive and rewarding ecosystem. With no intermediaries and censorship-resistant participation, Predictr.Market empowers users to monetize their knowledge across politics, finance, sports, and more.

3. Problem Statement & Solution

Problem
  • Centralized Control: Many platforms rely on intermediaries, risking manipulation, censorship, or unfair resolutions.
  • Limited Liquidity: Niche tokens restrict participation and market depth.
  • Complex Settlement: Manual or centralized oracles can introduce delays or biases in market outcomes.
  • Low Incentives: Participants often lack meaningful rewards or influence over platform development.
Solution
  • Trustless Operations: An AI-powered oracle on Core settles markets autonomously, ensuring fair and transparent outcomes.
  • Bitcoin-Backed Liquidity: Leverages Core’s EVM-based chain to enable seamless stablecoin transactions and access to Bitcoin’s vast liquidity.
  • Community Empowerment: Token holders vote on the platform’s roadmap and receive a higher percentage of winnings, aligning incentives with active participation.
  • Accessibility: Low-cost transactions and intuitive interfaces on Core make prediction markets accessible to a global audience.

4. Core Features

  • AI-Powered Oracle: A trustless, AI-driven oracle system settles markets with accurate, tamper-proof outcomes, eliminating reliance on centralized entities.
  • Bitcoin-Backed Liquidity: Users trade using stablecoins on Core, ensuring high liquidity and cost-efficient transactions.
  • Decentralized & Secure: EVM-compatible smart contracts on Core govern market creation, trading, and settlement, preventing manipulation.
  • Token Holder Incentives: Token holders receive a higher percentage of winnings and voting rights to shape the platform’s roadmap.
  • AI-Driven Insights: Machine learning algorithms provide personalized market recommendations and support future automated trading features.
  • Community Governance: A decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) enables token holders to influence platform development and market categories.

5. Technology: Built on Core

Core is an EVM-based blockchain built on Bitcoin, combining Bitcoin’s security and decentralization with Ethereum-style smart contract functionality. Key benefits for Predictr.Market include:

  • Security: Inherits Bitcoin’s robust consensus, ensuring trustless operations.
  • Scalability: EVM compatibility supports efficient smart contract execution and low-cost transactions.
  • Interoperability: Enables cross-chain interactions with other EVM-compatible networks.
  • Bitcoin Integration: Leverages Bitcoin’s liquidity for stablecoin transactions and potential native Bitcoin asset support.

The AI-powered oracle, deployed on Core, uses advanced machine learning to verify real-world event outcomes, ensuring trustless and transparent market settlements. Smart contracts handle all market logic, while the DAO empowers token holders to guide the platform’s future.

6. Market Opportunity

The global online gambling market is valued at $75.4 billion, with blockchain-based prediction markets like Polymarket achieving peak daily volumes of $2.5 billion. As decentralized finance (DeFi) and Web3 adoption grow, prediction markets offer a unique opportunity to monetize knowledge in:

  • Financial Markets: Cryptocurrency prices, stock indices, and commodities.
  • Politics: Election results and policy outcomes.
  • Sports & Entertainment: Game results, award ceremonies, and cultural events.

Predictr.Market’s trustless, AI-driven, and Bitcoin-backed platform positions it to capture this growing market with unparalleled transparency and accessibility.

7. Roadmap

Q1 2025: Foundation & Beta Launch

Goal: Launch a minimum viable product (MVP) with core prediction market functionality.

  • Develop smart contracts on Core’s testnet for market creation, trading, and AI-oracle settlement.
  • Build an AI-powered oracle for trustless market resolution.
  • Create an intuitive UI/UX for market creation and trading.
  • Establish liquidity pools on Core’s testnet.
  • Launch beta with predefined market categories (e.g., crypto, sports).
  • Introduce a rewards program for early adopters, with bonus winnings for token holders.
  • Deploy infrastructure on Core for scalability and performance monitoring.
  • Engage crypto and prediction market communities via X, Discord, and other channels.
Q2 2025: Mainnet Launch & Expansion

Goal: Transition to Core’s mainnet and expand platform features.

  • Launch on Core’s mainnet with expanded market categories (e.g., politics, finance, entertainment).
  • Enhance UI with a market dashboard for analytics (trade volume, market size, historical performance).
  • Implement AI-driven trade analysis and user onboarding improvements.
  • Deploy AI-powered oracle on Core’s mainnet for trustless settlements.
  • Introduce a dispute resolution mechanism for community review of oracle outcomes.
  • Launch referral and incentive programs, prioritizing token holders with higher winnings.
  • Partner with crypto influencers and communities for marketing.
  • Develop a governance framework for token holder voting on roadmap priorities.
Q3 2025: Scalability & Governance

Goal: Scale liquidity and activate token holder governance.

  • Introduce yield farming and staking incentives for liquidity providers, with enhanced rewards for token holders.
  • Explore cross-chain interoperability with EVM-compatible networks.
  • Launch on-chain governance on Core, enabling token holders to vote on roadmap features and market types.
  • Issue governance tokens to active users, with voting power proportional to holdings.
  • Refine UI/UX based on user feedback, adding user profiles and performance tracking.
  • Implement advanced analytics (e.g., market odds visualization, trading history).
Q4 2025: Ecosystem Expansion & Monetization

Goal: Enhance revenue streams and global reach.

  • Introduce premium features, such as AI trading bots and discounted fees for token holders.
  • Experiment with sponsored markets as a revenue stream.
  • Integrate APIs with ordinals communities and Telegram-based platforms.
  • Localize the platform for key markets with multi-language support.
  • Ensure compliance with regional regulations to expand legally and securely.
  • Strengthen token holder governance through educational campaigns and increased DAO participation.

8. Tokenomics & Governance

Tokenomics
  • Utility: Tokens are used for market creation, trading fees, and staking for rewards.
  • Enhanced Winnings: Token holders receive a higher percentage of winnings (e.g., a 10–20% bonus on payouts, to be finalized in Q3 2025), incentivizing holding and participation.
  • Incentives: Liquidity providers, market creators, and active traders earn tokens through a fee-sharing model.
  • Supply: A fixed or inflationary token supply will be determined in Q3 2025 to balance growth and sustainability.
Governance
  • Roadmap Voting: Token holders vote on platform roadmap priorities, such as new features, market categories, or oracle enhancements.
  • Proportional Voting Power: Voting weight is tied to token holdings, ensuring fair representation.
  • Transparency: All governance decisions are recorded on Core, ensuring accountability.
  • Incentivized Participation: Active users and liquidity providers receive governance tokens, fostering community-driven development.

9. Community Benefits

  • Trustless Participation: AI-powered oracles ensure fair, transparent market settlements without intermediaries.
  • Enhanced Rewards: Token holders receive a higher percentage of winnings, maximizing returns on accurate predictions.
  • Roadmap Influence: Token holders shape the platform’s future through DAO voting.
  • Monetization of Knowledge: Earn rewards by predicting outcomes in diverse markets.
  • Creator Incentives: Market creators and moderators receive token rewards for contributing to platform growth.
  • Gamification: Leaderboards, badges, and competitions enhance user engagement.

10. Conclusion

Predictr.Market is set to redefine prediction markets by combining the trustless security of Core, an EVM-based chain on Bitcoin, with AI-powered oracles and community-driven governance. Token holders are at the heart of the ecosystem, with voting rights to shape the roadmap and enhanced winnings to reward participation. By leveraging Bitcoin’s liquidity and eliminating centralized intermediaries, Predictr.Market offers a transparent, accessible, and rewarding platform for users worldwide to monetize their knowledge.